Real Estate Blog

Foreign investors see the U.S. as the best country to invest in real estate
January 19th, 2010 3:04 PM
Foreign investors in real estate committed to U.S. opportunities

WASHINGTON – Jan. 19, 2010 – Despite a lack of placement opportunities in 2009, foreign investors in real estate say they remain committed to the U.S. as their preferred real estate investment opportunity.

The sentiment is underscored by a dramatic increase in the number of respondents identifying the U.S. as the country providing the best opportunity for real estate capital appreciation, according to the results of the 18th annual Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE) survey.

The survey was conducted in the fourth quarter of 2009 among the association’s nearly 200 members. Survey respondents own more than $842 billion of real estate globally including $304 billion in the U.S. The survey was conducted by the James A. Graaskamp Center for Real Estate, Wisconsin School of Business.

In this year’s survey:
  • Fifty-one percent of respondents identify the U.S. as providing the best opportunity for capital appreciation;
  • This compares to 37 percent in 2008, 26 percent in 2007, and 23 percent in 2006;
  • The last time respondents’ perceptions for U.S. real estate were this strong was in 2003, when the percentage once again reached 51 percent;
  • The U.K. emerges as the second-best country for capital appreciation, receiving 30 percent of respondents’ votes;
  • In third place, China receives 10 percent of respondents’ votes.
“Although foreign investors expressed every intent to resume investing in 2009, like everyone else, their plans were sidelined by a paralyzed marketplace with no precedent and limited investment opportunities,” said Werner Sohier, senior portfolio manager real estate, PGGM and AFIRE’s newly elected chairman. “However, new money is becoming available and the AFIRE survey points to an increased focus and interest in a few select markets for 2010, especially London and in the US, where prospects appear to be brightening.”

According to survey results:
  • Two thirds of respondents plan to increase their investment in the U.S. in 2010 compared to 2009;
  • Investors say they plan to increase U.S. allocations above 2009 levels by 62 percent for equity and 83 percent for debt; at least half the survey respondents report a stronger appetite for both debt and equity investments in the U.S. than in other countries;
  • Plan for global equity investment in 2010 exceed plans for 2009 by 46 percent; 2010 plans for global debt are 20 percent lower than planned for 2009;
  • By the middle of the fourth quarter of 2009, foreign investors placed only 62 percent of planned debt allocations and 43 percent of planned equity allocations globally; in the U.S. they placed only 35 percent of planned debt allocations and 23 percent of planned equity allocations;
  • As a portion of global real estate, U.S. 2010 allocations for debt represent 80 percent of the global pool; allocations for equity represent 49 percent.
Other U.S. trends

Among U.S. cities representing the best investment opportunities, survey respondents firmly select Washington, D.C. and New York, receiving much stronger scores than third-place San Francisco.

This year, Boston makes a significant climb into fourth place, and Los Angeles falls one spot into fifth place. As they did last year, survey respondents also express a firm interest in multi-family as their preferred property type followed by office, industrial, retail and hotel properties.

“This is the second year in a row in which multi-family topped investors’ product preference,” said James A. Fetgatter, chief executive, AFIRE. “More notably, the gap between the top preference and the least-favored product, hotels, has not been this wide since 2000.”

Survey respondents have also pushed their projections for the recovery of the U.S. commercial real estate market back by six months:
  • In the June 2009 mid-year survey, half the respondents said they expected recovery by or before the second quarter of 2010;
  • In the 2010 annual survey, half the respondents say they expect the recovery by or before the fourth quarter of 2010. But, optimism about the state of the U.S. real estate market remains strong:
  • Thirty-three percent of survey respondents say they are more optimistic about the U.S. real estate market than they were in June 2009;
  • Sixty-three percent say their perspective has not changed;
  • Six percent say they are more pessimistic.

Global Trends Globally three cities emerge as clear targets for investors’ real estate dollars:

London surges into first place with a significant lead over both Washington and New York in second and third places respectively; Paris and Tokyo place as distant fourth- and fifth-place cities;

The United States remains the country selected as the “most stable and secure real estate investment environment,” although with a declining lead:

* The U.S. receives 44 percent of the vote; Germany receives 21 percent; and Canada receives 14 percent.

This year, the percentage of respondents selecting the U.S. as the most “stable and secure country” falls from 53 percent in 2008 and 57 percent in 2007. This is the first time that the U.S. has fallen below 50 percent in the survey’s history.

“The financial crisis of the past year has obviously affected investors’ perceptions of U.S. real estate as ‘stable and secure,’” explains Mr. Fetgatter. “However, it is also apparent that opportunity lies within this instability since the U.S., along with the UK, show substantially higher scoring for expected capital appreciation.”

© 2010 Florida Realtors®

Posted by Fred Hintenberger on January 19th, 2010 3:04 PMPost a Comment (0)

HUD changes seasoning rules for FHA borrowers
January 18th, 2010 7:11 PM
HUD takes action to speed resale of foreclosed properties to new owners

WASHINGTON – Jan. 18, 2010 – In an effort to stabilize home values and improve conditions in communities where foreclosure activity is high, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan announced a temporary policy that will expand access to FHA mortgage insurance to allow for a quicker resale of foreclosed properties. The policy change will permit buyers to use FHA-insured financing to purchase HUD-owned properties, bank-owned properties or properties resold through private sales.

“As a result of the tightened credit market, FHA-insured mortgage financing is often the only means of financing available to potential homebuyers,” says Donovan. “FHA has an unprecedented opportunity to fulfill its mission by helping many homebuyers find affordable housing while contributing to neighborhood stabilization.”

With certain exceptions, FHA currently prohibits insuring a mortgage on a home owned by the seller for less than 90 days. This temporary waiver will give FHA borrowers access to a broader array of recently foreclosed properties.

“This change in policy is temporary and will have very strict conditions and guidelines to assure that predatory practices are not allowed,” Donovan says.

Acquiring, rehabilitating and reselling foreclosed properties to prospective homeowners often takes less than 90 days in today’s market; and FHA’s 90-day rule can adversely impact buyers if a seller is unwilling to hold a property 90 days thanks to holding costs and the risk of vandalism.

“FHA borrowers, because of the restrictions we are now lifting, have often been shut out from buying affordable properties,” says FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens. “This action will enable our borrowers, especially first-time buyers, to take advantage of this opportunity.”

The waiver will take effect on Feb. 1, 2010, and be effective for one year, unless otherwise extended or withdrawn by the FHA Commissioner. To protect FHA borrowers against predatory practices of “flipping,” the waiver is limited to those sales meeting the following general conditions:

• All transactions must be arms-length, with no identity of interest between the buyer and seller or other parties participating in the sales transaction.

• In cases in which the sales price of the property is 20 percent or more above the seller’s acquisition cost, the waiver will only apply if the lender meets specific conditions.

• The waiver is limited to forward mortgages, and does not apply to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for purchase program.

• Specific conditions and other details of this new temporary policy are in the text of the waiver, available on HUD’s website:
http://www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/waivpropflip2010.pdf

© 2010 Florida Realtors®

Posted by Fred Hintenberger on January 18th, 2010 7:11 PMPost a Comment (0)

Modify home loans effect credit scores
January 7th, 2010 8:15 AM

Modified loans on home can hurt your credit score but is better than the alternatives of a short sale and much better than a foreclosure.

The last thing many troubled homeowners want to hear is that they could be denied a car loan after they get a chance to modify their home loan.

But credit scores can get dinged after a home loan modification, making it more costly or tougher to get a loan or credit card.

Hundreds of thousands of homeowners find themselves in a financial squeeze, thanks to the recession and the meltdown in the housing market. Lenders have offered trial loan modifications to more than 700,000 eligible borrowers. As of late November, about 31,000 trial loans have been made permanent, which requires at least three on-time payments under the trial program and proof of income.

What these troubled homeowners don’t realize is that these attempts to avoid foreclosure may result in their credit scores taking a hit.

A potentially damaged credit score is one of those hidden costs of home loan modification – and it varies significantly depending on your lender, as well as when you received your loan modification, your credit history and how your loan was altered.

“They need to tell people up front that this could happen,” said James Sperr, 46, of Belleville, Mich.

Sperr and his wife, Carol, received a trial modification through Bank of America that cut their house payment, including taxes and insurance, to $957 a month from $1,140 a month.

But it came with a hit to the credit score.

“Our credit rating has gone from the 800s to 750,” Carol Sperr said.

“It’s punitive to a consumer who is already scared, frustrated, mad,” said John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for Credit.com.

The Sperrs said they had never been late or missed a mortgage payment, but their bank had reported them as being behind on payments.

Their credit score took a hit, falling from the 800s to 750.

“They tell us that once the paperwork ‘catches up’ and the new loan is finalized, they will correct the credit reporting agencies,” Carol Sperr said.

No one saw this coming.

“I didn’t find out about our credit until they did a check on this van we bought,” James Sperr said.

He said his wife was able to provide more documentation that their mortgage was in compliance so they did not have to pay a higher rate or get shut out of a loan.

Others aren’t so lucky.

Loan modifications remain a good thing, but they often come with that consequence.

Homeowners who face hardships but cannot traditionally refinance their mortgages can try to get a loan modification. A modification temporarily reduces the monthly payment, which can be helpful if someone’s dealing with a pay cut. Typically, the principal amount owed on the loan is not reduced or changed and the amount of debt owed is not forgiven.

The federal government has programs, and banks and credit unions have proprietary programs as well.

Yet many homeowners feel blindsided when they discover that their credit score has dropped by 50 to 100 points or even more after they entered a trial modification.

“What’s the point of the additional credit damage? What have they just accomplished by doing that to the borrower?” asked John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for Credit.com.

Good question.

In the first few months after receiving a trial modification, Ulzheimer said, it is possible that the initial payments would show up as a “partial payment plan” on a credit report, which turns into a negative hit to a credit score. This can be a problem even for homeowners who never have missed a mortgage payment.

“It really depends on how the mortgage company decides to report this to a credit agency,” said Julie Bos, group manager and certified credit counselor for GreenPath Inc. in Grand Rapids, Mich.

A homeowner who is behind on payments will see credit score damage, and that won’t change from a modification.

“If you’re already delinquent, your credit is already impacted,” said John Snyder, manager of foreclosure programs for NeighborWorks America.

But consumers who are making their mortgage payments are getting modifications, too, perhaps because wages were cut or jobs were lost. They may be struggling to stay current, but their credit may not be bad when they start a modification.

At Bank of America, consumers who are current on mortgage payments could show up as being delinquent in the bank’s system after a trial modification period begins because they’re paying less than the actual mortgage payment during that trial period.

At the end of the trial period, the bank said it brings its system up to date when the loan is converted to a permanent modification.

Some might argue that it’s not a wise move to take on more debt, such as a car loan, if a person saw a cut in pay and needed a home loan modification. But many consumers often cannot control when their car breaks down.

On top of that, lenders benefit from home loan modifications because potential foreclosures can be avoided.

Unknowingly though, many consumers discover themselves boxed in later when they try to get approved for credit.

“They’re concerned about the damage to their credit. They’re not happy about it,” said Bos.

“If you go out and try to purchase a car in two months, you could be denied,” she said.

Or you might have to get a co-signer or put down a bigger downpayment or accept a higher interest rate to get a loan.

What’s stranger is that not all home loan modifications will hit consumers in the same way on their credit reports.

Consumers who modify their mortgages under federal programs, such as the Making Home Affordable and the Home Affordable Modification Program, now can do so without hurting their credit scores since those modifications are listed as a “loan modified under a federal plan” as of Nov. 1.

Here’s the sticking point: If you are able to modify your loan through an individual bank or credit union’s program and not a government plan, it’s likely your credit score will be hurt.

To complicate matters further, eventually a “loan modified under a federal plan” on your credit report could hurt your score, too.

Ulzheimer noted that the only reason the new reporting guidelines do not damage your credit scores is because FICO, the company that created the FICO credit score, hasn’t had a chance to study the long-term predictive value of loan modifications to credit risk.

Still, homeowners who are in trouble must realize that a foreclosure or a short sale would be listed as a charge-off or settlement on a credit report and last seven years, Ulzheimer said, while a modification would typically last a few years.

If you do receive a loan modification, ask questions and be more careful about how you handle your credit elsewhere to try to combat any potential damage.

Before making any moves, talk to a nonprofit housing counselor. See www.findaforeclosurecounselor.org.

How to keep up your credit score

These days, a good score is around 720 points or higher. Here are some tips to help you maintain or improve your credit score:

• Do not apply for several credit cards. Applying for a store credit card could cut 10 points off the credit score of some consumers with good credit.

• Pay all bills on time – utilities, mortgage, credit cards, etc. Lenders customarily don’t report you as late to the credit bureaus until you have missed the original due date by at least 30 days. Being a month late with all payments, for example, might lower a credit score by from 60 to 110 points.

• Missing a payment on one account that wasn’t already late could slice 40 to 75 points from some credit scores.

• Keep your credit card balances low on all cards, much lower than half of the available limit on your credit cards. Maxing out can cut credit scores by 45 to 100 points.

• Negotiating a debt settlement with creditors can lower some credit scores by 45 to 125 points. A short sale on a home would be reported as a debt settlement.

• A loan modification to get a lower mortgage payment and stay in your home could impact your credit score. In some cases, consumers could see credit scores drop by 100 to 150 points.

• Having your home foreclosed on could knock 45 to 100 points off your credit score, depending on where your score started.

• Filing for bankruptcy will hurt some credit scores by 195 to 255 points.

© 2010 Detroit Free Press, Susan Tompor. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune News Service.


Posted by Fred Hintenberger on January 7th, 2010 8:15 AMPost a Comment (0)

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